Thursday, January 26, 2012

The Waiting Room, The Pissing Contest, The Florida Primary

            Florida. It is known as God’s waiting room. And that is most certainly the meaning it embodies as the GOP debate and primary draws nearer every day. This is clearly the most significant vote yet, as the race has been split between the three ways thus far: Santorum took Iowa, Romney won New Hampshire and Gingrich ceased the moment in South Carolina. Elder statesman Ron Paul will be avoiding the Florida primary in hopes of securing victories out west. So what exactly will Florida mean for the three headed monster that remains?
            Florida means different things to all the candidates. If Gingrich were to win, it would strengthen his foothold in the South and probably secure him the remaining majority of the Bible belt. If Santorum were to win, it would blow the breeze of confidence and significance into his flag; his victory in Iowa still seems sketchy at best. Too close to call between him and Romney. But if Romney were to win, it would signify everything we’ve been expecting. If Romney wins in Florida, he wins the nomination. The only person standing in his way (and I can’t believe it’s come to this) is Newt Gingrich. The only place that toadstool is guaranteed votes is in the South, and if Romney can derail that train he stands stronger than ever to win the nomination handily.
            Gingrich has been surging to the naked eye, but if you look hard you will see he’s actually been digging himself a very deep hole that looks harder and harder to get out of. He’s managed to paint himself as a cool handed Christian and Washington outsider, but eventually those colors will run and the voters will call his bluff. He lied to CNN’s John King and the rest of us about “character witnesses” concerning his open marriage with his second ex-wife. He’s passed borderline racism and has developed a blatant sense of infallibility and supremacy. Even Jimmy Carter says Gingrich is racist (sort of). He blows of questions pretending to be unconcerned with petty differences and too mature to let them bother him. While this holier-than-thou attitude worked for a while, it’ll have to catch up sooner or later. You can’t hide in plain sight forever, and Gingrich will learn that the hard way.
            The world will come crumbling down around Gingrich sooner or later, but if Romney can win in Florida he’ll be delivering a fatal blow to the fatally flawed Congressional reject. If Romney can even split the South with Gingrich, then he’ll undoubtedly win the nomination. People like Gingrich and Santorum can’t win in states where the evangelical vote doesn’t matter: namely New York, California and Ohio. Texas could be a wildcard, but Romney has already put himself in good position.
            But what does it matter? Listening to all the candidates, you can’t help but feel that they don’t actually care about what they’re saying, or understand it. They go through the motions that past candidates took, but those motions are emptier and bitter tasting. No one is battling for anything intrinsically important, Obama included. The only thing these politicians care about is a victory, not for some greater vision of America but only to see the other side bleed. It’s all just become a giant pissing contest, and all of us are standing downwind. 

Thursday, January 19, 2012

The Good, The Bad, and Rick Perry: The End of the Lone Ranger


            Not all cowboys get to ride off into the sunset. Some go down in blaze of glory, shot down with both guns drawn. Others just get old and die, drenched in whiskey and telling stories about the old days that no one else remembers or cares to hear again. And this is the fate of the last cowboy in the 2012 race for the White House. Texas Governor Rick Perry, the Tea Party creation and the one time Republican flavor of the week, has dropped out of the race. There was no glory, as he didn’t capture the nomination like he thought he could. And there was no grand shootout; Perry just gave up. Rather than stick to his guns and go down firing, Perry hung up his six shooters and spurs and retired to the ranch. Not the ending that any cowboy dreams of.
            Perry’s undoing was all of his own creation. He scared away supporters and donors while spending millions on a lost cause. No one would even come to listen to the once proud former front runner speak in South Carolina earlier today. His stances on taxes (or lack thereof for the wealthy) and social security did him no favors in the eyes of voters everywhere. He seemed unprepared in every step of the race, and was beaten mercilessly by the other candidates. Perry went from good to bad to ugly in a very short period of time.
            The Lone Ranger is expected to endorse Gingrich later today. He has already dismantled his anti-Gingrich website. The same people who demanded early on that he enter the presidential race were clamoring for him to drop out the past few days. As it turns out, Perry was never the gunslinger he thought he was, but rather just another gun for hire in a town full of whores, drunkards and bandits. He was forgettable. He was replaceable. And most of all, he was a failure. He set out to destroy Mitt Romney, and the best he could do was bow out and endorse Gingrich.
            So adios, Rick Perry. He goes on now to join the likes of Herman Cain, Tim Pawlenty, Michele Bachmann and Jon Huntsman. Freaks and losers of the GOP nomination race. People who never stood a chance but were dumb enough to try anyway. This is what happens to cowboys who set Mitt Romney in their crosshairs and miss. They get no redemption, no glory whatsoever. They just get run out of town like disease ridden dogs, beaten raw and forced to live on the fringes, covered in dirt and their own blood. 

Monday, January 16, 2012

Out of the Hunt

            He never really had a chance, and perhaps that’s what made Jon Huntsman so compelling. Sure, he was a dull candidate; but he became the kind of political icon we all adore. He was the free falling loser who could do whatever he wanted before he hit the ground. He called out the stupidity of the other GOP candidates and of far right ideologies by claiming that global warming was real and that he himself believed in evolution. He went on Letterman and played rock and roll piano. He became a media darling for things he stood for but could never accomplish. He was the candidate we all really liked but would never bet on. And he’s doing himself a disservice by backing Romney.
            The two are polar opposites. Romney is the archetypal presidential hopeful who walks away from questions he doesn’t like. Huntsman broke the mold this election season by admitting he doesn’t believe all the crazy things everyone else in the GOP says they believe. Romney has been eyeing the White House for years with the goal of electing more Republicans; Huntsman served as Obama’s ambassador to China. Romney only wants to win, but you get the feeling that Huntsman actually wanted to help the American people. Sure, he's greedy and very well off. But Huntsman stood for something that neither Romney nor the rest of the GOP hopefuls could ever stand for: a type of conservatism founded by actual beliefs and not merely partisan differences. I honestly believe that Huntsman was in it to do some good, and not merely see the other side lose.
            He was everything we could have wanted in a real candidate, not just a Republican candidate. And that’s why he never caught fire, except for a spark here and there. He wasn’t even the least bit polarizing. He wasn’t contentious. He wasn’t the norm. He wasn’t as interesting as Herman Cain, Rick Perry or Michele Bachmann. He didn’t have the name recognition of Newt Gingrich or Mitt Romney. He was just Huntsman, a well to do western politician who couldn’t cut it with the big dogs but hopped into the ring anyway.
            So goodbye to Jon Huntsman, the patron saint of the coulda-shoulda-wouldas of the world. A hero to the losers. A guy we’d all like to have a beer with. Not a real candidate, but a guy who could have been a halfway decent president. And that's all we can really ask for these days.

Wednesday, January 4, 2012

The Results Are In, And They Are Meaningless

            And so it was that a mere matter of days into the New Year, Mitt Romney stomped his foot on the presidential terra. He went toe to toe with all the others in Iowa and came out victorious. But it was not an easy victory. It was a hard fought battle, and Romney only won by eight votes. Romney may be one step closer to locking down the nomination, but if Iowa proved anything it’s that Romney isn’t commanding the support he once thought he had.
            It has been an up and down season. All the candidates have seemed to have had their fifteen minutes in the spotlight. But the one that no one took seriously up until now was former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum who surged to the front to battle with Romney like a frothy whirlwind. If nothing else, his minor defeat by less than a dozen votes gives Santorum the ability to present himself as the clear cut alternative to Romney.
            New Hampshire is next, right around the corner and Romney has that under lock and key; he’s been campaigning there for what seems like years. Rick Perry has apparently also thrown in the towel, given up and gone back to Texas to “assess his candidacy.” He finished in fifth place with 10 percent of the vote, behind Gingrich’s 13 percent and Ron Paul’s 21. Michele Bachmann, who many thought could do some serious damage in her home state, wound up with only 5 percent of the vote.
            All of it seems somehow meaningless though. To majority of the public there was never a doubt that Romney would win the nomination eventually. And for many others there has never been a doubt that Romney will lose in November. It is only been on the fringes that there has been hope for Ron Paul and Herman Cain and Michele Bachmann and Newt Gingrich. This has proven to be an utterly lost season, perhaps foreshadowing that 2012 will in fact be the year the world ends.
            It all seems more about the ritual than the results, more about the pomp than the circumstance. Not only Iowa has seemed to have lost its meaning, but the whole process seems to have become unimportant in the eyes of the voters. People all around on both sides seem indifferent or unenthusiastic about the prospects of 2012. Is this the year that role of President of the United States finally becomes unimportant? Only time will tell. So until then, buckle up, because the journey is almost over. I feel it will have a very Vonnegut style ending. We will crown the Republican nomination not with a whimper or a bang, but simply with a shrug.